Do the Golden Globes Affect the Oscar Race?
The Hollywood Foreign Press Association handed out the 70thGolden Globe Awards to the best and brightest in television and movies on Sunday.
The Hollywood Foreign Press Association handed out the 70thGolden Globe Awardsto the best and brightest in television and movies on Sunday.
The best among the winners were ‘Argo’ and ‘Les Misérables’. Ben Affleck’s ‘Argo’ stunned everyone when it won for best motion picture drama over ‘Lincoln’. He also won the best director award for it.
The Golden Globesthat help us shape our expectations for the Oscars, are first of a series of most awaited events of the year. In the history of the Golden Globes, actors who win the Globe usually go on to win the Oscar. If we take the example of last year, all four actors who won at the Globes also took home the Oscars i.e. Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady, Jean Dujardin - The Artist, Christopher Plummer – Beginners and Octavia Spencer - The Help.
But there are a few times when this isn’t the case. Oscar winning actor Sean Penn for ‘Milk’ failed to win the Globe in 2009 and Mickey Rourke for ‘The Wrestler’ won the award. Also, the Golden Globes have usually failed to indicate who will eventually win the Best Picture at the Academy awards. In the last five years only ‘Slumdog Millionaire’ and ‘The Artist’ have won both the Globes and the Oscars.
So, the outcome of the Globes 2013 might alter our expectations in most of the categories, it seems that few winners might not have as large an impact on the Oscars as we think.
Huffpohas predicted the winners of 2013 Academy awards by a pretty statistical model, which had Daniel Day-Lewis as a 97 percent likely Oscar winner for the Best Actor (Lincoln),while Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) has a 67 percent chance of winning the best Actress Oscar over Jessica Chastain. Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) has a good 90 percent chance to win the Best Director and Lincoln is 90.4 percent likely Oscar winner for the Best Picture.
These statistical predictions will prove right or not that only time will tell but for now lets just wait for the highly anticipated Oscars night.
The Academy Awards ceremonyis scheduled for Feb. 24 at the Dolby Theatre at the Hollywood & Highland Center. It will be televised live domestically on ABC and in more than 225 foreign countries.